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People often draw inferences from sequences of past performance, sometimes perceiving patterns even in random outcomes. This has fueled debates regarding phenomena such as the hot hand and gambler’s …
Discussion paper
Finland offers a subsidy to employers for hiring individuals with low employment prospects. In 2015, changes to the subsidy’s funding caused some regions to unexpectedly suspend new subsidy grants. I …
Discussion paper
I examine the long-established scheme of furloughs in Finland, using detailed data on unemployment spells from 1999 to 2021. Furloughs allow employers in financial difficulty to suspend wages and …
Discussion paper